Queremos o coeficiente de correlação de Pearson:
r = ∑ ( x i − x ˉ ) ( y i − y ˉ ) ∑ ( x i − x ˉ ) 2 ∑ ( y i − y ˉ ) 2 . r=\frac{\sum (x_i-\bar x)(y_i-\bar y)}{\sqrt{\sum (x_i-\bar x)^2\;\sum (y_i-\bar y)^2}}. r = ∑ ( x i − x ˉ ) 2 ∑ ( y i − y ˉ ) 2 ∑ ( x i − x ˉ ) ( y i − y ˉ ) .
Dados (15 pares), conforme a tabela/imagem:
X X X : 2,2,2, 4,4,4, 6,6,6, 8,8,8, 10,10,10
Y Y Y : 2.1,1.8,1.9, 4.5,4.2,4.0, 6.2,6.0,6.5, 8.2,7.8,7.7, 9.6,10.0,10.1
1) Médias
Como X X X tem 3 repetições de cada valor (2,4,6,8,10):
x ˉ = 2 + 4 + 6 + 8 + 10 5 = 6. \bar x=\frac{2+4+6+8+10}{5}=6. x ˉ = 5 2 + 4 + 6 + 8 + 10 = 6.
Para Y Y Y :
Soma em X = 2 X=2 X = 2 : 2.1 + 1.8 + 1.9 = 5.8 2.1+1.8+1.9=5.8 2.1 + 1.8 + 1.9 = 5.8
Soma em X = 4 X=4 X = 4 : 4.5 + 4.2 + 4.0 = 12.7 4.5+4.2+4.0=12.7 4.5 + 4.2 + 4.0 = 12.7
Soma em X = 6 X=6 X = 6 : 6.2 + 6.0 + 6.5 = 18.7 6.2+6.0+6.5=18.7 6.2 + 6.0 + 6.5 = 18.7
Soma em X = 8 X=8 X = 8 : 8.2 + 7.8 + 7.7 = 23.7 8.2+7.8+7.7=23.7 8.2 + 7.8 + 7.7 = 23.7
Soma em X = 10 X=10 X = 10 : 9.6 + 10.0 + 10.1 = 29.7 9.6+10.0+10.1=29.7 9.6 + 10.0 + 10.1 = 29.7
Total: 5.8 + 12.7 + 18.7 + 23.7 + 29.7 = 90.6 5.8+12.7+18.7+23.7+29.7=90.6 5.8 + 12.7 + 18.7 + 23.7 + 29.7 = 90.6 .
y ˉ = 90.6 15 = 6.04. \bar y=\frac{90.6}{15}=6.04. y ˉ = 15 90.6 = 6.04.
2) Cálculo dos somatórios
Como X X X é constante em blocos, temos:
∑ ( x i − x ˉ ) 2 \sum (x_i-\bar x)^2 ∑ ( x i − x ˉ ) 2 :
Para x = 2 x=2 x = 2 : ( 2 − 6 ) 2 = 16 (2-6)^2=16 ( 2 − 6 ) 2 = 16 (3 vezes) → 48 48 48
Para x = 4 x=4 x = 4 : ( 4 − 6 ) 2 = 4 (4-6)^2=4 ( 4 − 6 ) 2 = 4 (3 vezes) → 12 12 12
Para x = 6 x=6 x = 6 : ( 6 − 6 ) 2 = 0 (6-6)^2=0 ( 6 − 6 ) 2 = 0 (3 vezes) → 0 0 0
Para x = 8 x=8 x = 8 : ( 8 − 6 ) 2 = 4 (8-6)^2=4 ( 8 − 6 ) 2 = 4 (3 vezes) → 12 12 12
Para x = 10 x=10 x = 10 : ( 10 − 6 ) 2 = 16 (10-6)^2=16 ( 10 − 6 ) 2 = 16 (3 vezes) → 48 48 48
Logo:
∑ ( x i − x ˉ ) 2 = 48 + 12 + 0 + 12 + 48 = 120. \sum (x_i-\bar x)^2=48+12+0+12+48=120. ∑ ( x i − x ˉ ) 2 = 48 + 12 + 0 + 12 + 48 = 120.
∑ ( x i − x ˉ ) ( y i − y ˉ ) \sum (x_i-\bar x)(y_i-\bar y) ∑ ( x i − x ˉ ) ( y i − y ˉ ) : calcule por blocos (mesmo x x x ):
Para cada bloco, ∑ ( x − x ˉ ) ( y − y ˉ ) = ( x − x ˉ ) ∑ ( y − y ˉ ) \sum (x-\bar x)(y-\bar y)=(x-\bar x)\sum(y-\bar y) ∑ ( x − x ˉ ) ( y − y ˉ ) = ( x − x ˉ ) ∑ ( y − y ˉ ) .
Bloco x = 2 x=2 x = 2 : x − x ˉ = − 4 x-\bar x=-4 x − x ˉ = − 4 .
∑ ( y − y ˉ ) = 5.8 − 3 ⋅ 6.04 = 5.8 − 18.12 = − 12.32 \sum(y-\bar y)=5.8-3\cdot 6.04=5.8-18.12=-12.32 ∑ ( y − y ˉ ) = 5.8 − 3 ⋅ 6.04 = 5.8 − 18.12 = − 12.32 .
Produto: ( − 4 ) ( − 12.32 ) = 49.28 (-4)(-12.32)=49.28 ( − 4 ) ( − 12.32 ) = 49.28 .
Bloco x = 4 x=4 x = 4 : x − x ˉ = − 2 x-\bar x=-2 x − x ˉ = − 2 .
∑ ( y − y ˉ ) = 12.7 − 18.12 = − 5.42 \sum(y-\bar y)=12.7-18.12=-5.42 ∑ ( y − y ˉ ) = 12.7 − 18.12 = − 5.42 .
Produto: ( − 2 ) ( − 5.42 ) = 10.84 (-2)(-5.42)=10.84 ( − 2 ) ( − 5.42 ) = 10.84 .
Bloco x = 6 x=6 x = 6 : x − x ˉ = 0 x-\bar x=0 x − x ˉ = 0 → contribuição 0 0 0 .
Bloco x = 8 x=8 x = 8 : x − x ˉ = 2 x-\bar x=2 x − x ˉ = 2 .
∑ ( y − y ˉ ) = 23.7 − 18.12 = 5.58 \sum(y-\bar y)=23.7-18.12=5.58 ∑ ( y − y ˉ ) = 23.7 − 18.12 = 5.58 .
Produto: ( 2 ) ( 5.58 ) = 11.16 (2)(5.58)=11.16 ( 2 ) ( 5.58 ) = 11.16 .
Bloco x = 10 x=10 x = 10 : x − x ˉ = 4 x-\bar x=4 x − x ˉ = 4 .
∑ ( y − y ˉ ) = 29.7 − 18.12 = 11.58 \sum(y-\bar y)=29.7-18.12=11.58 ∑ ( y − y ˉ ) = 29.7 − 18.12 = 11.58 .
Produto: ( 4 ) ( 11.58 ) = 46.32 (4)(11.58)=46.32 ( 4 ) ( 11.58 ) = 46.32 .
Somando:
∑ ( x i − x ˉ ) ( y i − y ˉ ) = 49.28 + 10.84 + 0 + 11.16 + 46.32 = 117.60. \sum (x_i-\bar x)(y_i-\bar y)=49.28+10.84+0+11.16+46.32=117.60. ∑ ( x i − x ˉ ) ( y i − y ˉ ) = 49.28 + 10.84 + 0 + 11.16 + 46.32 = 117.60.
∑ ( y i − y ˉ ) 2 \sum (y_i-\bar y)^2 ∑ ( y i − y ˉ ) 2 (calculando termo a termo):
Para Y Y Y em x = 2 x=2 x = 2 :
( 2.1 − 6.04 ) 2 = 3.94 2 = 15.5236 (2.1-6.04)^2=3.94^2=15.5236 ( 2.1 − 6.04 ) 2 = 3.9 4 2 = 15.5236
( 1.8 − 6.04 ) 2 = 4.24 2 = 17.9776 (1.8-6.04)^2=4.24^2=17.9776 ( 1.8 − 6.04 ) 2 = 4.2 4 2 = 17.9776
( 1.9 − 6.04 ) 2 = 4.14 2 = 17.1396 (1.9-6.04)^2=4.14^2=17.1396 ( 1.9 − 6.04 ) 2 = 4.1 4 2 = 17.1396
Soma: 50.6408 50.6408 50.6408
Para x = 4 x=4 x = 4 :
( 4.5 − 6.04 ) 2 = 1.54 2 = 2.3716 (4.5-6.04)^2=1.54^2=2.3716 ( 4.5 − 6.04 ) 2 = 1.5 4 2 = 2.3716
( 4.2 − 6.04 ) 2 = 1.84 2 = 3.3856 (4.2-6.04)^2=1.84^2=3.3856 ( 4.2 − 6.04 ) 2 = 1.8 4 2 = 3.3856
( 4.0 − 6.04 ) 2 = 2.04 2 = 4.1616 (4.0-6.04)^2=2.04^2=4.1616 ( 4.0 − 6.04 ) 2 = 2.0 4 2 = 4.1616
Soma: 9.9188 9.9188 9.9188
Para x = 6 x=6 x = 6 :
( 6.2 − 6.04 ) 2 = 0.16 2 = 0.0256 (6.2-6.04)^2=0.16^2=0.0256 ( 6.2 − 6.04 ) 2 = 0.1 6 2 = 0.0256
( 6.0 − 6.04 ) 2 = 0.04 2 = 0.0016 (6.0-6.04)^2=0.04^2=0.0016 ( 6.0 − 6.04 ) 2 = 0.0 4 2 = 0.0016
( 6.5 − 6.04 ) 2 = 0.46 2 = 0.2116 (6.5-6.04)^2=0.46^2=0.2116 ( 6.5 − 6.04 ) 2 = 0.4 6 2 = 0.2116
Soma: 0.2388 0.2388 0.2388
Para x = 8 x=8 x = 8 :
( 8.2 − 6.04 ) 2 = 2.16 2 = 4.6656 (8.2-6.04)^2=2.16^2=4.6656 ( 8.2 − 6.04 ) 2 = 2.1 6 2 = 4.6656
( 7.8 − 6.04 ) 2 = 1.76 2 = 3.0976 (7.8-6.04)^2=1.76^2=3.0976 ( 7.8 − 6.04 ) 2 = 1.7 6 2 = 3.0976
( 7.7 − 6.04 ) 2 = 1.66 2 = 2.7556 (7.7-6.04)^2=1.66^2=2.7556 ( 7.7 − 6.04 ) 2 = 1.6 6 2 = 2.7556
Soma: 10.5188 10.5188 10.5188
Para x = 10 x=10 x = 10 :
( 9.6 − 6.04 ) 2 = 3.56 2 = 12.6736 (9.6-6.04)^2=3.56^2=12.6736 ( 9.6 − 6.04 ) 2 = 3.5 6 2 = 12.6736
( 10.0 − 6.04 ) 2 = 3.96 2 = 15.6816 (10.0-6.04)^2=3.96^2=15.6816 ( 10.0 − 6.04 ) 2 = 3.9 6 2 = 15.6816
( 10.1 − 6.04 ) 2 = 4.06 2 = 16.4836 (10.1-6.04)^2=4.06^2=16.4836 ( 10.1 − 6.04 ) 2 = 4.0 6 2 = 16.4836
Soma: 44.8388 44.8388 44.8388
Total:
∑ ( y i − y ˉ ) 2 = 50.6408 + 9.9188 + 0.2388 + 10.5188 + 44.8388 = 116.156. \sum (y_i-\bar y)^2=50.6408+9.9188+0.2388+10.5188+44.8388=116.156. ∑ ( y i − y ˉ ) 2 = 50.6408 + 9.9188 + 0.2388 + 10.5188 + 44.8388 = 116.156.
3) Correlação
r = 117.60 120 ⋅ 116.156 . r=\frac{117.60}{\sqrt{120\cdot 116.156}}. r = 120 ⋅ 116.156 117.60 .
Calculando o denominador:
120 ⋅ 116.156 = 13938.72 , 13938.72 ≈ 118.06. 120\cdot 116.156=13938.72,\quad \sqrt{13938.72}\approx 118.06. 120 ⋅ 116.156 = 13938.72 , 13938.72 ≈ 118.06.
Então:
r ≈ 117.60 118.06 ≈ 0.996. r\approx \frac{117.60}{118.06}\approx 0.996. r ≈ 118.06 117.60 ≈ 0.996.
Alternativa correta: (C).